Geopolitics · Single market
Will Nicolás Maduro die between 4–11 Jan 2026?
Outcome
Yes — death confirmed in period
Votes: 42%
42%
Voting only
Outcome
No — stays alive through period
Votes: 58%
58%
Voting only
Market context
Binary market on whether Nicolás Maduro's death is confirmed between 4–11 Jan 2026. Sources: Reuters, AP, BBC, UN, official government or medical statements.
Rules
- Outcome Yes: death confirmed between 4–11 Jan 2026 (any cause), validated by listed sources.
- Outcome No: alive through the period, including under custody, with no confirmed death.
- Sources: Reuters, AP, BBC, UN, official government/medical statements.
- Resolution deadline: 11 Jan 2026 23:59 UTC + 24h dispute.
- On-chain finality; explorer links published.
Voting & eligibility
- Snapshot: Jan 11, 2026 23:59 UTC (block-based).
- Eligibility: wallets holding ≥100,000 $MADIERO at snapshot.
- Vote window: open until Jan 11, 2026; no locking or slashing.
- Results may be delayed until oracle/dispute finalize.
- Anti-flash: snapshot gating; voting free, holdings unchanged.
Rewards (Airdrop)
- Correct voters receive airdrop from prize pool pro-rata to snapshot balance.
- Incorrect voters are not penalized.
- Claim opens after oracle finality/dispute window.
- Prize pool funded from fees; 50% of buyback burned for deflation.
Oracle & disputes
- Primary: Chainlink oracle with predefined sources (Reuters, AP, BBC, UN, official statements).
- Fallback: DAO vote with quorum + timelock.
- Dispute window: 24h after oracle post.
Buyback & prize pool
3–5% trading fee feeds buyback contract. 50% of bought-back tokens burn; 50% flow to prize pool for correct voters (airdrop after resolution).